38.
CASE STUDY 3: Industrial Quality Assurance
In an automated bolt-manufacturing factory, machines \( M_1, M_2, M_3 \) produce \( 25\% \), \( 35\% \), and \( 40\% \) of total output bolts respectively. Historical quality records show that \( 5\% \) of bolts manufactured by \( M_1 \), \( 4\% \) by \( M_2 \), and \( 2\% \) by \( M_3 \) are defective. A bolt is drawn at random from a batch of mixed production.
(i)
What is the probability that the randomly chosen bolt is manufactured by Machine \( M_2 \)? (1 Mark)
(ii)
Find the total probability that a randomly chosen bolt is defective. (1 Mark)
(iii)
If the drawn bolt is found to be defective, find the probability that it was manufactured by Machine \( M_3 \). (2 Marks)
OR
If the drawn bolt is found to be defective, find the probability that it was manufactured by Machine \( M_1 \). (2 Marks)